Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 FF preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Sandefjord take on Sarpsborg 08 FF on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Jotun Arena. Sandefjord are 13th with 28 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sandefjord's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Valerenga 0–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Sandefjord and 1.0 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 50% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sandefjord 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sandefjord42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.90
Sarpsborg 08 FF37%fair 2.71 · @3.00
2.15Expected goals
1.12Sandefjord xG
1.02Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sandefjord 1.1 – 1.0 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sandefjord to win✗
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.67 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sandefjord / FT Sandefjord✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.61
–
Form
Sandefjord – last 5
LWWWW
15 Mar
@ Valerenga
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Start
3–2
W
2 Mar
vs Ranheim
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Stabaek
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Aalborg
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 2
LW
8 Mar
@ Fredrikstad
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Ham-Kam
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sandefjord and Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What is the prediction for Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
On our numbers Sandefjord have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 37%.
How many goals will there be in Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our predicted score is Sandefjord 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jotun Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
