Value bet: Valerenga to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosenborg to win ✗42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.21
Rosenborg vs Valerenga preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Rosenborg take on Valerenga on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Lerkendal Stadion. Rosenborg are 3rd with 46 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Valerenga sit 8th on 32 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rosenborg's last 4: DLWW Most recently they drew with Bryne 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Valerenga's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Sandefjord 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valerenga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 February 2026, finished Rosenborg 0–1 Valerenga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Rosenborg and 1.1 for Valerenga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Valerenga to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rosenborg 1–1 Valerenga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rosenborg42%fair 2.37 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
Valerenga36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
2.30Expected goals
1.22Rosenborg xG
1.08Valerenga xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Rosenborg 1.2 – 1.1 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rosenborg vs Valerenga?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Rosenborg vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Rosenborg have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Valerenga 36%.
How many goals will there be in Rosenborg vs Valerenga?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rosenborg vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Rosenborg 1–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Rosenborg vs Valerenga?
Rosenborg vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Lerkendal Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
