FC Basel 1893 host FC Lugano in the Super League on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at St. Jakob-Park. FC Basel 1893 are 7th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while FC Lugano sit 1st on 34 points (top of the table). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for FC Basel 1893 and 1.4 for FC Lugano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Basel 1893 39%, draw 23%, FC Lugano 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FC Basel 1893 1–1 FC Lugano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Basel 189339%fair 2.56 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
FC Lugano38%fair 2.61 · @2.70
2.86Expected goals
1.44FC Basel 1893 xG
1.42FC Lugano xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Basel 1893 1.4 – 1.4 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Basel 1893 to win✗
39%
2.56
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Basel 1893 / FT FC Basel 1893✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
FC Basel 1893
No recent results on record.
FC Lugano
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Basel 1893 and FC Lugano.
What is the prediction for FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano?
On our numbers FC Basel 1893 have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Lugano 38%.
How many goals will there be in FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano?
Our predicted score is FC Basel 1893 1–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano?
FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at St. Jakob-Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
