Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: FC Thun to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Thun to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceFC Thun or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.53
FC Thun vs FC Sion preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees FC Thun take on FC Sion on Sunday 15 February, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stockhorn Arena. FC Thun are 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while FC Sion sit 3rd on 26 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for FC Thun and 0.9 for FC Sion. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Thun 61%, draw 25%, FC Sion 13%.
Safer route: FC Thun or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: FC Thun to win at 1.90 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Thun or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Thun 2–0 FC Sion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Thun61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.65
FC Sion13%fair 7.51 · @3.70
3.05Expected goals
2.11FC Thun xG
0.94FC Sion xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Thun 2.1 – 0.9 FC Sion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Thun to win✓
61%
1.63
1.90 ▲
Double chance
FC Thun or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Half-time result
FC Thun ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Thun / FT FC Thun✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.53
–
Form
FC Thun
No recent results on record.
FC Sion
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Thun and FC Sion.
Our pick is FC Thun or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Thun vs FC Sion?
On our numbers FC Thun have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC Sion 13%.
How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs FC Sion?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs FC Sion?
Our predicted score is FC Thun 2–0 FC Sion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FC Thun vs FC Sion?
FC Thun vs FC Sion (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
