Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTepatitlán to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49
CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán preview and prediction
The match
Tepatitlán travel to Estadio Guaycura in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 11 April (04:00 WAT) to face CA La Paz. CA La Paz are 1st with 30 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Tepatitlán sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
CA La Paz's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Irapuato 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tepatitlán's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for CA La Paz and 1.5 for Tepatitlán. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CA La Paz 37%, draw 21%, Tepatitlán 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: CA La Paz 1–1 Tepatitlán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CA La Paz37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.75
Tepatitlán42%fair 2.39 · @2.50
2.92Expected goals
1.41CA La Paz xG
1.52Tepatitlán xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 1.4 – 1.5 Tepatitlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tepatitlán to win✗
42%
2.39
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tepatitlán / FT Tepatitlán✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.49
–
Form
CA La Paz – last 6
LDWDWW
4 Apr
@ Irapuato
1–3
L
28 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cancún
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Tlaxcala
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Leones Negros UDG
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tepatitlán – last 6
WDWLWL
4 Apr
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Cancún
2–2
D
21 Mar
vs Venados FC
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Monarcas
2–3
L
9 Mar
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA La Paz and Tepatitlán.
What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tepatitlán 42%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 1–1 Tepatitlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán?
CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
