The Liga De Expansión MX sees Cancún take on Tepatitlán on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT). Cancún are 5th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Tepatitlán sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cancún's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Irapuato 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Tepatitlán's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Venados FC 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Cancún and 1.2 for Tepatitlán. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Cancún 1–1 Tepatitlán. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cancún40%fair 2.50 · @2.58
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.35
Tepatitlán36%fair 2.76 · @2.58
2.50Expected goals
1.29Cancún xG
1.21Tepatitlán xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cancún 1.3 – 1.2 Tepatitlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cancún to win✗
40%
2.50
2.58
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cancún / FT Cancún✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.47
–
Form
Cancún – last 5
DDWLW
22 Mar
@ Irapuato
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs CA La Paz
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Tapatío
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Tepatitlán – last 6
WLWLWD
21 Mar
vs Venados FC
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Monarcas
2–3
L
9 Mar
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Irapuato
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Leones Negros UDG
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cancún and Tepatitlán.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cancún vs Tepatitlán?
On our numbers Cancún have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tepatitlán 36%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs Tepatitlán?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs Tepatitlán?
Our predicted score is Cancún 1–1 Tepatitlán, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs Tepatitlán?
Cancún vs Tepatitlán (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Irapuato0