Irapuato travel to Estadio Morelos in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 29 March (02:00 WAT) to face Monarcas.
Form guide
Monarcas's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Tapatío 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Irapuato's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Cancún 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Monarcas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for Monarcas and 1.1 for Irapuato. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Monarcas 1–1 Irapuato. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monarcas52%fair 1.94 · @1.97
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.55
Irapuato28%fair 3.59 · @3.60
2.82Expected goals
1.68Monarcas xG
1.15Irapuato xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Monarcas 1.7 – 1.1 Irapuato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monarcas to win✓
52%
1.94
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monarcas / FT Monarcas✓
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.02
–
Form
Monarcas – last 6
LWLWWW
23 Mar
@ Tapatío
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Atlante FC
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs CA La Paz
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Dorados
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Venados FC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Irapuato – last 6
DLWLLW
22 Mar
vs Cancún
2–2
D
14 Mar
@ Correcaminos Uat
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
6–2
W
26 Feb
vs Atlante FC
0–5
L
21 Feb
@ Tepatitlán
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Dorados
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monarcas and Irapuato.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monarcas vs Irapuato?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Irapuato 28%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Irapuato?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Irapuato?
Our predicted score is Monarcas 1–1 Irapuato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Monarcas vs Irapuato?
Monarcas vs Irapuato (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
