CA La Paz vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCA La Paz to win ✓64% · @1.61
Double chanceCA La Paz or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
CA La Paz vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca preview and prediction
The match
Alebrijes de Oaxaca travel to Estadio Guaycura in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 21 March (04:00 WAT) to face CA La Paz. CA La Paz are 1st with 30 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Alebrijes de Oaxaca sit 9th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
CA La Paz's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Cancún 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Tapatío 4–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for CA La Paz and 0.9 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CA La Paz 64%, draw 24%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12%.
Safer route: CA La Paz or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: CA La Paz 2–0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CA La Paz64%fair 1.57 · @1.61
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @4.00
Alebrijes de Oaxaca12%fair 8.37 · @5.10
3.08Expected goals
2.17CA La Paz xG
0.91Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 2.2 – 0.9 Alebrijes de Oaxaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA La Paz to win✓
64%
1.57
1.61
Double chance
CA La Paz or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.42
Half-time result
CA La Paz ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
CA La Paz – last 4
DWWL
15 Mar
@ Cancún
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Tlaxcala
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Leones Negros UDG
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Monarcas
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 5
WLWLD
14 Mar
vs Tapatío
4–3
W
8 Mar
@ Irapuato
2–6
L
28 Feb
vs Dorados
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atlante FC
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Tlaxcala
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA La Paz and Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 2–0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
CA La Paz vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
