Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.58 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.58Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTepatitlán to win ✓63% · @1.58
Double chanceTepatitlán or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Tepatitlán vs Venados FC preview and prediction
The match
Venados FC travel to face Tepatitlán in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 21 March (02:00 WAT). Tepatitlán are 16th with 7 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Venados FC sit 6th on 25 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tepatitlán's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Monarcas 2–3 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Venados FC's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Correcaminos Uat 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Tepatitlán arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Tepatitlán and 1.0 for Venados FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tepatitlán 63%, draw 19%, Venados FC 18%.
Safer route: Tepatitlán or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tepatitlán to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.58. Predicted score: Tepatitlán 2–1 Venados FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tepatitlán63%fair 1.59 · @1.58
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.20
Venados FC18%fair 5.48 · @5.00
3.08Expected goals
2.08Tepatitlán xG
1.01Venados FC xG
60%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tepatitlán 2.1 – 1.0 Venados FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tepatitlán to win✓
63%
1.59
1.58
Double chance
Tepatitlán or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Half-time result
Tepatitlán ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tepatitlán / FT Tepatitlán✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Tepatitlán – last 5
LWLWD
15 Mar
@ Monarcas
2–3
L
9 Mar
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Irapuato
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Leones Negros UDG
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Venados FC – last 3
LLL
7 Mar
vs Correcaminos Uat
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Monarcas
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tepatitlán and Venados FC.
What is the prediction for Tepatitlán vs Venados FC?
Our pick is Tepatitlán to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.
Who will win Tepatitlán vs Venados FC?
On our numbers Tepatitlán have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Venados FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tepatitlán vs Venados FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs Venados FC?
Our predicted score is Tepatitlán 2–1 Venados FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tepatitlán vs Venados FC?
Tepatitlán vs Venados FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
