Value bet: Tapatío to win @ 2.52 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTapatío to win ✗46% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Correcaminos Uat vs Tapatío preview and prediction
The match
Correcaminos Uat host Tapatío in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT). Correcaminos Uat are 12th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Tapatío sit 11th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Correcaminos Uat and 1.6 for Tapatío. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Tapatío to win at 2.52 – 46% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Tapatío. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Correcaminos Uat32%fair 3.09 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Tapatío46%fair 2.19 · @2.52
2.93Expected goals
1.32Correcaminos Uat xG
1.62Tapatío xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Correcaminos Uat 1.3 – 1.6 Tapatío expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tapatío to win✗
46%
2.19
2.52 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tapatío / FT Tapatío✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.92
–
Form
Correcaminos Uat – last 1
D
14 Feb
vs Atlante FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tapatío
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Correcaminos Uat and Tapatío.
What is the prediction for Correcaminos Uat vs Tapatío?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Correcaminos Uat vs Tapatío?
On our numbers Correcaminos Uat have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tapatío 46%.
How many goals will there be in Correcaminos Uat vs Tapatío?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Correcaminos Uat vs Tapatío?
Our predicted score is Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Tapatío, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Correcaminos Uat vs Tapatío?
Correcaminos Uat vs Tapatío (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
