Double chanceAlebrijes de Oaxaca or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados preview and prediction
The match
Dorados travel to face Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 28 February (00:00 WAT). Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 9th with 22 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Dorados sit 13th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 0.7 for Dorados. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 68%, draw 20%, Dorados 11%.
Safer route: Alebrijes de Oaxaca or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alebrijes de Oaxaca to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.63, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2–0 Dorados. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alebrijes de Oaxaca68%fair 1.46 · @1.63
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.85
Dorados11%fair 8.84 · @5.10
2.78Expected goals
2.06Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
0.72Dorados xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2.1 – 0.7 Dorados expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alebrijes de Oaxaca to win✓
68%
1.46
1.63 ▲
Double chance
Alebrijes de Oaxaca or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Alebrijes de Oaxaca ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alebrijes de Oaxaca / FT Alebrijes de Oaxaca✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Atlante FC
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Tlaxcala
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dorados – last 2
LL
21 Feb
vs Monarcas
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Irapuato
0–5
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Dorados.
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?
Our pick is Alebrijes de Oaxaca to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.
Who will win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?
On our numbers Alebrijes de Oaxaca have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dorados 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?
Our predicted score is Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2–0 Dorados, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Dorados (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
