Value bet: Degerfors IF to win @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDegerfors IF to win ✗52% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Orgryte IS vs Degerfors IF preview and prediction
The match
The Allsvenskan sees Orgryte IS take on Degerfors IF on Monday 27 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Gamla Ullevi. Orgryte IS are 15th with 20 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Degerfors IF sit 14th on 20 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Orgryte IS's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Degerfors IF's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat AIK Stockholm 2–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Degerfors IF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.2 for Orgryte IS and 1.8 for Degerfors IF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orgryte IS 27%, draw 21%, Degerfors IF 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Degerfors IF to win at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Orgryte IS 1–1 Degerfors IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orgryte IS27%fair 3.67 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
Degerfors IF52%fair 1.93 · @2.10
2.97Expected goals
1.20Orgryte IS xG
1.77Degerfors IF xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Orgryte IS 1.2 – 1.8 Degerfors IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Degerfors IF to win✗
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Degerfors IF / FT Degerfors IF✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.38
–
Form
Orgryte IS – last 6
LDWDLD
22 Apr
vs IF Brommapojkarna
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Malmo FF
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Lillestrom
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kalmar FF
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Mjallby AIF
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ IFK Varnamo
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Degerfors IF – last 6
WLWWLL
23 Apr
vs AIK Stockholm
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs IF Elfsborg
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Halmstad
3–0
W
27 Mar
vs IFK Norrkoping
3–1
W
14 Mar
vs United Nordic
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ IFK Goteborg
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orgryte IS and Degerfors IF.
What is the prediction for Orgryte IS vs Degerfors IF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Orgryte IS vs Degerfors IF?
On our numbers Orgryte IS have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Degerfors IF 52%.
How many goals will there be in Orgryte IS vs Degerfors IF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orgryte IS vs Degerfors IF?
Our predicted score is Orgryte IS 1–1 Degerfors IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Orgryte IS vs Degerfors IF?
Orgryte IS vs Degerfors IF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gamla Ullevi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
