Value bet: IF Elfsborg to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIF Elfsborg to win ✗43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg preview and prediction
The match
The Allsvenskan sees Kalmar FF take on IF Elfsborg on Monday 27 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Guldfageln Arena. Kalmar FF are 13th with 26 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while IF Elfsborg sit 5th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kalmar FF's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with IFK Goteborg 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
IF Elfsborg's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Djurgardens IF 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
IF Elfsborg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Kalmar FF and 1.3 for IF Elfsborg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kalmar FF 34%, draw 22%, IF Elfsborg 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Value angle: IF Elfsborg to win at 2.75 – 43% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kalmar FF 1–1 IF Elfsborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalmar FF34%fair 2.91 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
IF Elfsborg43%fair 2.31 · @2.75
2.44Expected goals
1.13Kalmar FF xG
1.31IF Elfsborg xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Kalmar FF 1.1 – 1.3 IF Elfsborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Elfsborg to win✗
43%
2.31
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Elfsborg / FT IF Elfsborg✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.72
–
Form
Kalmar FF – last 6
DLLLWD
23 Apr
vs IFK Goteborg
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ AIK Stockholm
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Djurgardens IF
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Vasteras SK FK
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Halmstad
4–0
W
7 Mar
vs Orgryte IS
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
IF Elfsborg – last 6
WWWWLW
22 Apr
vs Djurgardens IF
2–1
W
17 Apr
@ Degerfors IF
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs IFK Goteborg
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Osters IF
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Sirius
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Helsingborg
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalmar FF and IF Elfsborg.
What is the prediction for Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg?
On our numbers Kalmar FF have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and IF Elfsborg 43%.
How many goals will there be in Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our predicted score is Kalmar FF 1–1 IF Elfsborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg?
Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Guldfageln Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
