Value bet: AIK Stockholm to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAIK Stockholm to win ✗47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.35
Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm preview and prediction
The match
The Allsvenskan sees Degerfors IF take on AIK Stockholm on Thursday 23 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stora Valla. Degerfors IF are 14th with 20 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while AIK Stockholm sit 8th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Degerfors IF's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to IF Elfsborg 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
AIK Stockholm's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Kalmar FF 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AIK Stockholm arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Degerfors IF and 1.4 for AIK Stockholm. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Degerfors IF 31%, draw 22%, AIK Stockholm 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: AIK Stockholm to win at 2.45 – 47% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Degerfors IF 1–1 AIK Stockholm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Degerfors IF31%fair 3.23 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
AIK Stockholm47%fair 2.14 · @2.45
2.45Expected goals
1.06Degerfors IF xG
1.39AIK Stockholm xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Degerfors IF 1.1 – 1.4 AIK Stockholm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AIK Stockholm to win✗
47%
2.14
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AIK Stockholm / FT AIK Stockholm✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.35
–
Form
Degerfors IF – last 6
LWWLLW
17 Apr
vs IF Elfsborg
0–1
L
12 Apr
@ Halmstad
3–0
W
27 Mar
vs IFK Norrkoping
3–1
W
14 Mar
vs United Nordic
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ IFK Goteborg
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs trelleborgs FF
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
AIK Stockholm – last 6
WDWWWL
19 Apr
vs Kalmar FF
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ IF Brommapojkarna
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Halmstad
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs BK Hacken
4–0
W
28 Feb
@ Oddevold
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Vasteras SK FK
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Degerfors IF and AIK Stockholm.
What is the prediction for Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm?
On our numbers Degerfors IF have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AIK Stockholm 47%.
How many goals will there be in Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm?
Our predicted score is Degerfors IF 1–1 AIK Stockholm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm?
Degerfors IF vs AIK Stockholm (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Thursday 23 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stora Valla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
