Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDjurgardens IF to win40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.72
Djurgardens IF vs Malmo FF preview and prediction
The match
Malmo FF travel to 3Arena in the Allsvenskan on Friday 17 April (18:00 WAT) to face Djurgardens IF. Djurgardens IF are 3rd with 52 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Malmo FF sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Djurgardens IF's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Kalmar FF 3–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Malmo FF's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Orgryte IS 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Djurgardens IF and 1.4 for Malmo FF. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Djurgardens IF 40%, draw 23%, Malmo FF 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Malmo FF to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Djurgardens IF 1–1 Malmo FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Djurgardens IF40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Malmo FF37%fair 2.68 · @2.90
2.84Expected goals
1.45Djurgardens IF xG
1.39Malmo FF xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Djurgardens IF 1.4 – 1.4 Malmo FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Djurgardens IF to win
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.61
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Djurgardens IF / FT Djurgardens IF
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.72
–
Form
Djurgardens IF – last 6
WWWLWW
12 Apr
vs Kalmar FF
3–2
W
6 Apr
@ Gais
1–0
W
27 Mar
vs HJK Helsinki
4–2
W
15 Mar
@ Hammarby FF
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs IF Brommapojkarna
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ IFK Skövde
8–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Malmo FF – last 5
DWWWW
5 Apr
@ Orgryte IS
1–1
D
26 Mar
vs Landskrona BoIS
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Halmstad
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ IF Karlstad
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Varbergs BoIS FC
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Djurgardens IF and Malmo FF.
What is the prediction for Djurgardens IF vs Malmo FF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Djurgardens IF vs Malmo FF?
On our numbers Djurgardens IF have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Malmo FF 37%.
How many goals will there be in Djurgardens IF vs Malmo FF?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Djurgardens IF vs Malmo FF?
Our predicted score is Djurgardens IF 1–1 Malmo FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Djurgardens IF vs Malmo FF?
Djurgardens IF vs Malmo FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 3Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
