Value bet: IF Elfsborg to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIF Elfsborg to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 10.30
Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg preview and prediction
The match
Degerfors IF host IF Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stora Valla. Degerfors IF are 14th with 20 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while IF Elfsborg sit 5th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Degerfors IF's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Halmstad 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
IF Elfsborg's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat IFK Goteborg 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Degerfors IF and 1.4 for IF Elfsborg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Degerfors IF 34%, draw 22%, IF Elfsborg 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: IF Elfsborg to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Degerfors IF 1–1 IF Elfsborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Degerfors IF34%fair 2.91 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
IF Elfsborg43%fair 2.31 · @2.50
2.70Expected goals
1.25Degerfors IF xG
1.45IF Elfsborg xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Degerfors IF 1.3 – 1.4 IF Elfsborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IF Elfsborg to win✓
43%
2.31
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IF Elfsborg / FT IF Elfsborg✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.30
–
Form
Degerfors IF – last 5
WWLLW
12 Apr
@ Halmstad
3–0
W
27 Mar
vs IFK Norrkoping
3–1
W
14 Mar
vs United Nordic
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ IFK Goteborg
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs trelleborgs FF
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
IF Elfsborg – last 5
WWLWL
6 Apr
vs IFK Goteborg
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs Osters IF
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Sirius
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Helsingborg
4–0
W
14 Feb
@ Gais
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Degerfors IF and IF Elfsborg.
What is the prediction for Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg?
On our numbers Degerfors IF have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and IF Elfsborg 43%.
How many goals will there be in Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg?
Our predicted score is Degerfors IF 1–1 IF Elfsborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg?
Degerfors IF vs IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stora Valla.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
