Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDjurgardens IF to win ✓67% · @1.57
Double chanceDjurgardens IF or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.50
Djurgardens IF vs Kalmar FF preview and prediction
The match
Djurgardens IF host Kalmar FF in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at 3Arena. Djurgardens IF are 3rd with 52 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Kalmar FF sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Djurgardens IF's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Gais 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kalmar FF's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Vasteras SK FK 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Djurgardens IF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Djurgardens IF and 0.4 for Kalmar FF. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Djurgardens IF 67%, draw 22%, Kalmar FF 11%.
Safer route: Djurgardens IF or draw (89%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 57% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.30, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Djurgardens IF 1–0 Kalmar FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Djurgardens IF67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.90
Kalmar FF11%fair 9.37 · @5.60
1.93Expected goals
1.53Djurgardens IF xG
0.40Kalmar FF xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–017%
0–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Djurgardens IF 1.5 – 0.4 Kalmar FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Djurgardens IF to win✓
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Djurgardens IF or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.42 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Djurgardens IF / FT Djurgardens IF✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.50
–
Form
Djurgardens IF – last 6
WWLWWL
6 Apr
@ Gais
1–0
W
27 Mar
vs HJK Helsinki
4–2
W
15 Mar
@ Hammarby FF
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs IF Brommapojkarna
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ IFK Skövde
8–0
W
21 Feb
vs Falkenbergs FF
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kalmar FF – last 5
LWDWL
5 Apr
vs Vasteras SK FK
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Halmstad
4–0
W
7 Mar
vs Orgryte IS
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ IFK Varnamo
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Mjallby AIF
0–2
L
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Djurgardens IF and Kalmar FF.
What is the prediction for Djurgardens IF vs Kalmar FF?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Djurgardens IF vs Kalmar FF?
On our numbers Djurgardens IF have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kalmar FF 11%.
How many goals will there be in Djurgardens IF vs Kalmar FF?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Djurgardens IF vs Kalmar FF?
Our predicted score is Djurgardens IF 1–0 Kalmar FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Djurgardens IF vs Kalmar FF?
Djurgardens IF vs Kalmar FF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at 3Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
