Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Charlotte Independence to win @ 2.40 – our chance 44% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence preview and prediction
The match
Charlotte Independence travel to Paladin Stadium in the USL League One on Sunday 18 October (00:00 WAT) to face Greenville Triumph. Greenville Triumph are 15th with 30 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Charlotte Independence sit 1st on 66 points (top of the table). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Greenville Triumph's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Spokane Velocity 4–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat NY Cosmos 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Charlotte Independence arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Charlotte Independence 1–0 Greenville Triumph. Across their last 2 meetings Greenville Triumph have won 0, Charlotte Independence 2, with 0 draws and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.6 for Greenville Triumph and 1.8 for Charlotte Independence. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Greenville Triumph 35%, draw 21%, Charlotte Independence 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Charlotte Independence to win at 2.40 – 44% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Greenville Triumph 1–1 Charlotte Independence. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Greenville Triumph35%fair 2.88 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.20
Charlotte Independence44%fair 2.26 · @2.40
3.42Expected goals
1.59Greenville Triumph xG
1.83Charlotte Independence xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–25%
From our goals model: Greenville Triumph 1.6 – 1.8 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
44%
2.26
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
On our numbers Greenville Triumph have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Charlotte Independence 44%.
How many goals will there be in Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
Our predicted score is Greenville Triumph 1–1 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paladin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
