Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Charlotte Independence to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓66% · @1.44
Double chanceCharlotte Independence or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Charlotte Independence take on NY Cosmos on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Charlotte Independence are 1st with 66 points from 32 games (top of the table), while NY Cosmos sit 16th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 39 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Sarasota Paradise 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
NY Cosmos's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Naples 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Charlotte Independence arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished NY Cosmos 3–2 Charlotte Independence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Charlotte Independence and 1.1 for NY Cosmos. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte Independence 66%, draw 23%, NY Cosmos 12%.
Safer route: Charlotte Independence or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Charlotte Independence to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Charlotte Independence 2–1 NY Cosmos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte Independence66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.40
NY Cosmos12%fair 8.52 · @5.00
3.53Expected goals
2.47Charlotte Independence xG
1.06NY Cosmos xG
63%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.5 – 1.1 NY Cosmos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Double chance
Charlotte Independence or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos?
Our pick is Charlotte Independence to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and NY Cosmos 12%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–1 NY Cosmos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos?
Charlotte Independence vs NY Cosmos (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
