Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Sarasota Paradise to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarasota Paradise to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceSarasota Paradise or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers preview and prediction
The match
Richmond Kickers travel to Premier Sports Campus in the USL League One on Sunday 11 October (00:30 WAT) to face Sarasota Paradise. Sarasota Paradise are 11th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Richmond Kickers sit 17th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sarasota Paradise's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Charlotte Independence 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Richmond Kickers's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Naples 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Sarasota Paradise arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Richmond Kickers 0–0 Sarasota Paradise.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Sarasota Paradise and 0.8 for Richmond Kickers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Sarasota Paradise to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sarasota Paradise 2–0 Richmond Kickers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarasota Paradise67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.00
Richmond Kickers12%fair 8.18 · @5.00
3.02Expected goals
2.18Sarasota Paradise xG
0.84Richmond Kickers xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 2.2 – 0.8 Richmond Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?
Our pick is Sarasota Paradise to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Richmond Kickers 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?
Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 2–0 Richmond Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers?
Sarasota Paradise vs Richmond Kickers (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
