Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Charlotte Independence to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✗66% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗88% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne preview and prediction
The match
Charlotte Independence host Fort Wayne in the USL League One on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Charlotte Independence are 1st with 66 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Fort Wayne sit 9th on 45 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Richmond Kickers 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Fort Wayne's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Naples 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Fort Wayne 2–2 Charlotte Independence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Charlotte Independence and 1.1 for Fort Wayne. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte Independence 66%, draw 12%, Fort Wayne 22%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Charlotte Independence to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Charlotte Independence 2–1 Fort Wayne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte Independence66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
Draw12%fair 8.08 · @3.90
Fort Wayne22%fair 4.65 · @3.70
3.29Expected goals
2.20Charlotte Independence xG
1.09Fort Wayne xG
52%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.2 – 1.1 Fort Wayne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✗
66%
1.51
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
88%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?
Our pick is Charlotte Independence to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Fort Wayne 22%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–1 Fort Wayne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?
Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne (USL League One) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
