NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNY Cosmos to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise preview and prediction
The match
NY Cosmos host Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Hinchliffe Stadium. NY Cosmos are 16th with 27 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Sarasota Paradise sit 11th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
NY Cosmos's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Union Omaha 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sarasota Paradise's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Union Omaha 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Sarasota Paradise 2–1 NY Cosmos.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for NY Cosmos and 1.4 for Sarasota Paradise. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: NY Cosmos 45%, draw 20%, Sarasota Paradise 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: NY Cosmos 1–1 Sarasota Paradise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NY Cosmos45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
Sarasota Paradise35%fair 2.88 · @2.90
2.93Expected goals
1.58NY Cosmos xG
1.35Sarasota Paradise xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: NY Cosmos 1.6 – 1.4 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers NY Cosmos have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sarasota Paradise 35%.
How many goals will there be in NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is NY Cosmos 1–1 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?
NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Hinchliffe Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
