Double chanceCharlotte Independence or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine preview and prediction
The match
Charlotte Independence host Portland Hearts of Pine in the USL League One on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Charlotte Independence are 1st with 66 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Portland Hearts of Pine sit 14th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Alta 5–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Portland Hearts of Pine's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Fort Wayne 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Charlotte Independence arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Charlotte Independence and 1.0 for Portland Hearts of Pine. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte Independence 69%, draw 20%, Portland Hearts of Pine 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Charlotte Independence to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Charlotte Independence 2–0 Portland Hearts of Pine. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte Independence69%fair 1.46 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @4.80
Portland Hearts of Pine11%fair 8.86 · @6.00
3.48Expected goals
2.50Charlotte Independence xG
0.99Portland Hearts of Pine xG
60%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–18%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.5 – 1.0 Portland Hearts of Pine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Double chance
Charlotte Independence or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.46
–
Form
Charlotte Independence – last 6
WDWLWW
29 Aug
vs Alta
5–0
W
23 Aug
@ Forward Madison
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Sarasota Paradise
3–1
W
13 Aug
vs Hartford Athletic
2–4
L
9 Aug
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs One Knoxville
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portland Hearts of Pine – last 6
LDDLLD
30 Aug
vs Fort Wayne
1–4
L
23 Aug
@ Richmond Kickers
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ One Knoxville
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Forward Madison
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Corpus Christi
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ Greenville Triumph
3–3
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte Independence and Portland Hearts of Pine.
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Our pick is Charlotte Independence to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Portland Hearts of Pine 11%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–0 Portland Hearts of Pine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Charlotte Independence vs Portland Hearts of Pine (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
