Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultForward Madison to win ✓47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.86
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison preview and prediction
The match
Portland Hearts of Pine host Forward Madison in the USL League One on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Fitzpatrick Stadium. Portland Hearts of Pine are 14th with 34 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Forward Madison sit 4th on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Portland Hearts of Pine's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Corpus Christi 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Forward Madison's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Greenville Triumph 1–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Forward Madison arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.7 for Forward Madison. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portland Hearts of Pine 32%, draw 21%, Forward Madison 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Portland Hearts of Pine 1–1 Forward Madison. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Hearts of Pine32%fair 3.08 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.45
Forward Madison47%fair 2.13 · @2.25
3.06Expected goals
1.36Portland Hearts of Pine xG
1.70Forward Madison xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Portland Hearts of Pine 1.4 – 1.7 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forward Madison to win✓
47%
2.13
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forward Madison / FT Forward Madison✓
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.86
–
Form
Portland Hearts of Pine – last 6
LDLLDW
9 Aug
vs Corpus Christi
0–2
L
2 Aug
@ Greenville Triumph
3–3
D
23 Jul
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Boise
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs NY Cosmos
1–1
D
4 Jul
@ Naples
3–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Forward Madison – last 6
DLWWWW
13 Aug
vs Greenville Triumph
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Boise
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Westchester SC
2–0
W
30 Jul
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
5–2
W
26 Jul
vs Naples
3–1
W
16 Jul
vs Richmond Kickers
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Hearts of Pine and Forward Madison.
What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Portland Hearts of Pine have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Forward Madison 47%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
Our predicted score is Portland Hearts of Pine 1–1 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Fitzpatrick Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
