Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✗40% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Spokane Velocity take on Charlotte Independence on Thursday 23 July, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at One Spokane Stadium. Spokane Velocity are 5th with 54 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Charlotte Independence sit 1st on 66 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spokane Velocity's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Richmond Kickers 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Charlotte Independence's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 March 2026, finished Charlotte Independence 4–0 Spokane Velocity.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Spokane Velocity and 1.7 for Charlotte Independence. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spokane Velocity 36%, draw 24%, Charlotte Independence 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Spokane Velocity 1–1 Charlotte Independence. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spokane Velocity36%fair 2.78 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.45
Charlotte Independence40%fair 2.52 · @2.55
3.29Expected goals
1.62Spokane Velocity xG
1.66Charlotte Independence xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Spokane Velocity 1.6 – 1.7 Charlotte Independence expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Spokane Velocity
Charlotte Independence
Attack vs USL League One average
+8%
+50%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.85
1.85
Our own ratings from every USL League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✗
40%
2.52
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
What is the prediction for Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?
On our numbers Spokane Velocity have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Charlotte Independence 40%.
How many goals will there be in Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?
Our predicted score is Spokane Velocity 1–1 Charlotte Independence, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence?
Spokane Velocity vs Charlotte Independence (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at One Spokane Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
