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USL League One · USA · Fitzpatrick Stadium

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha prediction & analysis

79%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultUnion Omaha to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.12

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha preview and prediction

The match

The USL League One sees Portland Hearts of Pine take on Union Omaha on Thursday 23 July, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Fitzpatrick Stadium. Portland Hearts of Pine are 14th with 34 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Union Omaha sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Portland Hearts of Pine's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Boise 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.

Union Omaha's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Westchester SC 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Portland Hearts of Pine arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Union Omaha 2–2 Portland Hearts of Pine.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.6 for Union Omaha. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Portland Hearts of Pine 1–1 Union Omaha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Portland Hearts of Pine34%fair 2.91 · @2.75
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.50
Union Omaha41%fair 2.47 · @2.25
2.95Expected goals
1.36Portland Hearts of Pine xG
1.59Union Omaha xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%

From our goals model: Portland Hearts of Pine 1.4 – 1.6 Union Omaha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

Portland Hearts of PineUnion Omaha
Attack vs USL League One average+3%+4%
Goals conceded vs average+22%-27%
Our expected goals here1.311.63

Our own ratings from every USL League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion Omaha to win ✓41%2.472.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union Omaha / FT Union Omaha ✓26%3.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.12–

Form

Portland Hearts of Pine – last 6

LDWWLL
18 Jul@ Boise1–2L
12 Julvs NY Cosmos1–1D
4 Jul@ Naples3–2W
25 Junvs Richmond Kickers5–1W
20 Jun@ Westchester SC1–5L
13 Junvs Chattanooga Red Wolves1–2L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Union Omaha – last 6

DLWLLL
19 Julvs Westchester SC2–2D
12 Jul@ Forward Madison3–4L
2 Julvs Alta3–1W
21 Jun@ Boise0–1L
14 Jun@ Sarasota Paradise0–2L
11 Jun@ Charlotte Independence0–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Union Omaha v Portland Hearts of Pine2–2
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha head-to-head page →

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

More USL League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha?

On our numbers Portland Hearts of Pine have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Union Omaha 41%.

How many goals will there be in Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha?

Our predicted score is Portland Hearts of Pine 1–1 Union Omaha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha?

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Union Omaha (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Fitzpatrick Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.