Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Fort Wayne or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Fort Wayne to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFort Wayne to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceFort Wayne or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.37
Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph preview and prediction
The match
Fort Wayne host Greenville Triumph in the USL League One on Sunday 19 July, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium. Fort Wayne are 9th with 45 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Greenville Triumph sit 15th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fort Wayne's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to One Knoxville 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Greenville Triumph's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Richmond Kickers 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Fort Wayne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Fort Wayne and 0.8 for Greenville Triumph. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fort Wayne 60%, draw 22%, Greenville Triumph 18%.
Safer route: Fort Wayne or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Fort Wayne to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fort Wayne or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Fort Wayne 1–0 Greenville Triumph. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fort Wayne60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Greenville Triumph18%fair 5.55 · @3.45
2.55Expected goals
1.74Fort Wayne xG
0.81Greenville Triumph xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fort Wayne 1.7 – 0.8 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fort Wayne to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Fort Wayne or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Fort Wayne ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fort Wayne / FT Fort Wayne✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.37
–
Form
Fort Wayne – last 6
LLWWDD
15 Jul
@ One Knoxville
1–2
L
12 Jul
vs Detroit City
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Spokane Velocity
3–0
W
21 Jun
@ Richmond Kickers
2–0
W
18 Jun
@ Forward Madison
1–1
D
11 Jun
@ Westchester SC
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Greenville Triumph – last 6
LDWLLL
12 Jul
vs Richmond Kickers
1–2
L
9 Jul
vs Sarasota Paradise
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ NY Cosmos
3–0
W
25 Jun
@ Charlotte Independence
0–1
L
21 Jun
vs Alta
1–2
L
15 Jun
@ Westchester SC
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fort Wayne and Greenville Triumph.
What is the prediction for Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Fort Wayne or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers Fort Wayne have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Greenville Triumph 18%.
How many goals will there be in Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is Fort Wayne 1–0 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph?
Fort Wayne vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
