Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Charlotte Independence take on Chattanooga Red Wolves on Sunday 19 July, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Charlotte Independence are 1st with 66 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Chattanooga Red Wolves sit 7th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte Independence's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Charleston Battery 2–2 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Chattanooga Red Wolves's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Alta 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–3 Charlotte Independence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Charlotte Independence and 1.2 for Chattanooga Red Wolves. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte Independence 57%, draw 20%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Charlotte Independence to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Charlotte Independence 2–1 Chattanooga Red Wolves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte Independence57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.60
Chattanooga Red Wolves24%fair 4.25 · @3.30
3.16Expected goals
1.98Charlotte Independence xG
1.18Chattanooga Red Wolves xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.0 – 1.2 Chattanooga Red Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✗
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Our pick is Charlotte Independence to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chattanooga Red Wolves 24%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–1 Chattanooga Red Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?
Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
