Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Sarasota Paradise take on Union Omaha on Sunday 14 June, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Premier Sports Campus. Sarasota Paradise are 11th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Union Omaha sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sarasota Paradise's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Alta 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Union Omaha's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Charlotte Independence 0–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Union Omaha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Sarasota Paradise and 1.6 for Union Omaha. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarasota Paradise 31%, draw 20%, Union Omaha 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Union Omaha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarasota Paradise31%fair 3.22 · @3.10
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Union Omaha49%fair 2.06 · @2.05
2.80Expected goals
1.21Sarasota Paradise xG
1.60Union Omaha xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 1.2 – 1.6 Union Omaha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Omaha to win✗
49%
2.06
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Omaha / FT Union Omaha✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
LWWWLL
11 Jun
@ Alta
1–3
L
7 Jun
@ Naples
2–0
W
31 May
vs NY Cosmos
2–1
W
28 May
@ Boise
2–0
W
25 May
@ Spokane Velocity
0–1
L
17 May
vs Alta
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Union Omaha – last 6
LWWWWL
11 Jun
@ Charlotte Independence
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Fort Wayne
4–2
W
31 May
vs Naples
2–1
W
28 May
@ NY Cosmos
2–1
W
24 May
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–0
W
17 May
vs Louisville City
1–5
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarasota Paradise and Union Omaha.
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union Omaha 49%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?
Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Union Omaha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha?
Sarasota Paradise vs Union Omaha (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
