Charlotte Independence vs Naples prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓61% · @1.53
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.99
Charlotte Independence vs Naples preview and prediction
The match
Naples travel to American Legion Memorial Stadium in the USL League One on Sunday 14 June (00:00 WAT) to face Charlotte Independence. Charlotte Independence are 1st with 66 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Naples sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Union Omaha 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Naples's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Sarasota Paradise 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Charlotte Independence arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 June 2026, finished Naples 1–5 Charlotte Independence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Charlotte Independence and 1.0 for Naples. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte Independence 61%, draw 18%, Naples 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Charlotte Independence 1–1 Naples. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte Independence61%fair 1.64 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @4.10
Naples20%fair 4.89 · @5.10
2.98Expected goals
1.97Charlotte Independence xG
1.01Naples xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.0 – 1.0 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.48
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Naples 20%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 1–1 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Naples?
Charlotte Independence vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
