One Knoxville vs Union Omaha preview and prediction
The match
Union Omaha travel to Regal Stadium in the USL League One on Thursday 14 May (00:00 WAT) to face One Knoxville. One Knoxville are 6th with 54 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Union Omaha sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four).
Form guide
One Knoxville's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Naples 3–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Union Omaha's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Portland Hearts of Pine 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for One Knoxville and 1.3 for Union Omaha. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: One Knoxville 38%, draw 24%, Union Omaha 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: One Knoxville 1–1 Union Omaha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
One Knoxville38%fair 2.64 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Union Omaha38%fair 2.62 · @2.62
2.52Expected goals
1.26One Knoxville xG
1.27Union Omaha xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: One Knoxville 1.3 – 1.3 Union Omaha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Omaha to win✓
38%
2.62
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Omaha / FT Union Omaha✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.38
–
Form
One Knoxville – last 6
WLWDWW
3 May
@ Naples
3–0
W
30 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Charlotte Independence
2–1
W
11 Apr
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Sarasota Paradise
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Richmond Kickers
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union Omaha – last 6
DWWLLW
10 May
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2–2
D
3 May
vs Greenville Triumph
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Richmond Kickers
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Alta
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between One Knoxville and Union Omaha.
What is the prediction for One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
On our numbers One Knoxville have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union Omaha 38%.
How many goals will there be in One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
Our predicted score is One Knoxville 1–1 Union Omaha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?
One Knoxville vs Union Omaha (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Regal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
