Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoise to win ✓65% · @1.85
Double chanceBoise or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Boise vs Naples preview and prediction
The match
Naples travel to face Boise in the USL League One on Thursday 14 May (02:00 WAT). Boise are 3rd with 58 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Naples sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Boise's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Charlotte Independence 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Naples's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to One Knoxville 0–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Boise and 0.7 for Naples. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boise 65%, draw 21%, Naples 14%.
Safer route: Boise or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Boise to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Boise 1–0 Naples. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boise65%fair 1.54 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Naples14%fair 7.02 · @3.70
2.52Expected goals
1.83Boise xG
0.70Naples xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Boise 1.8 – 0.7 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boise to win✓
65%
1.54
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Boise or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Boise ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boise / FT Boise✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Form
Boise – last 6
LWDWDD
7 May
@ Charlotte Independence
0–1
L
3 May
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Westchester SC
4–0
W
12 Apr
@ Alta
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Spokane Velocity
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Naples – last 6
LLLWWW
3 May
vs One Knoxville
0–3
L
30 Apr
@ Miami FC
1–4
L
16 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs America CFL Spurs
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boise and Naples.
Our pick is Boise to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Boise vs Naples?
On our numbers Boise have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Naples 14%.
How many goals will there be in Boise vs Naples?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boise vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Boise 1–0 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Boise vs Naples?
Boise vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
