Value bet: Portland Hearts of Pine to win @ 2.55 – our chance 47% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortland Hearts of Pine to win ✗47% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.47
Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Sarasota Paradise take on Portland Hearts of Pine on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Premier Sports Campus. Sarasota Paradise are 11th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Portland Hearts of Pine sit 14th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Sarasota Paradise and 1.4 for Portland Hearts of Pine. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarasota Paradise 32%, draw 21%, Portland Hearts of Pine 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Portland Hearts of Pine to win at 2.55 – 47% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Portland Hearts of Pine. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarasota Paradise32%fair 3.09 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Portland Hearts of Pine47%fair 2.13 · @2.55
2.46Expected goals
1.08Sarasota Paradise xG
1.38Portland Hearts of Pine xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 1.1 – 1.4 Portland Hearts of Pine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Hearts of Pine to win✗
47%
2.13
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Hearts of Pine / FT Portland Hearts of Pine✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.47
–
Form
Sarasota Paradise – last 2
DL
15 Mar
vs Fort Wayne
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Boise
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Portland Hearts of Pine – last 2
DL
22 Mar
@ Alta
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Vermont Green
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarasota Paradise and Portland Hearts of Pine.
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Portland Hearts of Pine 47%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 1–1 Portland Hearts of Pine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine?
Sarasota Paradise vs Portland Hearts of Pine (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
