Naples host Forward Madison in the USL League One on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex. Naples are 8th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Forward Madison sit 4th on 56 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Naples's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Richmond Kickers 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Naples and 1.1 for Forward Madison. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naples 46%, draw 23%, Forward Madison 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Naples 1–1 Forward Madison. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naples46%fair 2.19 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.95
Forward Madison31%fair 3.23 · @3.10
2.44Expected goals
1.37Naples xG
1.07Forward Madison xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Naples 1.4 – 1.1 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naples to win✗
46%
2.19
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naples / FT Naples✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.34
–
Form
Naples – last 5
WWDWL
21 Mar
@ Richmond Kickers
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Red Force
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Corpus Christi
2–2
D
8 Mar
vs Fort Wayne
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–3
L
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Forward Madison – last 2
LW
19 Mar
@ Flint City Bucks
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ One Knoxville
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naples and Forward Madison.
What is the prediction for Naples vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Naples vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Naples have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Forward Madison 31%.
How many goals will there be in Naples vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naples vs Forward Madison?
Our predicted score is Naples 1–1 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Naples vs Forward Madison?
Naples vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Paradise Coast Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.