Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Birmingham Legion to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBirmingham Legion to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham Legion host Loudoun United in the USL Championship on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Protective Stadium. Birmingham Legion are 11th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Loudoun United sit 10th on 31 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Birmingham Legion's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Sporting JAX 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Loudoun United's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Rhode Island 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Birmingham Legion 1–1 Loudoun United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Birmingham Legion and 1.1 for Loudoun United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Birmingham Legion 56%, draw 18%, Loudoun United 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Birmingham Legion to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Loudoun United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham Legion56%fair 1.78 · @1.91
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @3.60
Loudoun United26%fair 3.88 · @3.10
2.89Expected goals
1.79Birmingham Legion xG
1.10Loudoun United xG
65%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.8 – 1.1 Loudoun United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Loudoun United 26%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Loudoun United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United?
Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.