USL Championship · USA · Championship Soccer StadiumOrange County SC vs Phoenix Rising prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.3 – 1.6 Phoenix Rising expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Phoenix Rising shade it despite being away from home – 47% to win, against 32% for Orange County SC.
Orange County SC have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.2 per game. Phoenix Rising have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.3 for Orange County SC, 1.6 for Phoenix Rising). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 3 meetings, Orange County SC have won 0, Phoenix Rising have won 1 and 2 ended level, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.69.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Phoenix Rising to win ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Phoenix Rising / FT Phoenix Rising ✓ | 27% | 3.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.79 | – |
Form
Orange County SC – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ El Paso Locomotive | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Monterey Bay | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Lexington | 0–6 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Las Vegas Lights | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Sacramento Republic | 1–1 | D |
Phoenix Rising – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Las Vegas Lights | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ New Mexico United | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Oakland Roots | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs El Paso Locomotive | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs FC Tulsa | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Monterey Bay | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 17 May 2026 | Phoenix Rising v Orange County SC | 2–1 |
| 2 Apr 2026 | Orange County SC v Phoenix Rising | 1–1 |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Phoenix Rising v Orange County SC | 1–1 |
USL Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  New Mexico United | 30 | +11 | 52 |
| 2 |  Sacramento Republic | 30 | +14 | 51 |
| 3 |  El Paso Locomotive | 30 | +10 | 50 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 30 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 |  Colorado Springs | 30 | +6 | 47 |
| 6 |  San Antonio | 30 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 |  FC Tulsa | 30 | +3 | 43 |
| 8 |  Phoenix Rising | 30 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 |  Orange County SC | 30 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 |  Oakland Roots | 30 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 |  Las Vegas Lights | 30 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 |  Monterey Bay | 30 | -20 | 24 |
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Detroit City0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
On our numbers Orange County SC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phoenix Rising 47%.
How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising?
Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.