El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
El Paso Locomotive to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✓66% · @1.68
Double chanceEl Paso Locomotive or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.08
El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay preview and prediction
The match
El Paso Locomotive host Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on Thursday 6 August, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Southwest University Park. El Paso Locomotive are 3rd with 50 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Monterey Bay sit 12th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Orange County SC 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Monterey Bay's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Lexington 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Monterey Bay 1–0 El Paso Locomotive. Across their last 2 meetings El Paso Locomotive have won 1, Monterey Bay 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for El Paso Locomotive and 0.9 for Monterey Bay. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Paso Locomotive 66%, draw 18%, Monterey Bay 15%.
Safer route: El Paso Locomotive or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was El Paso Locomotive to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 2–0 Monterey Bay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive66%fair 1.51 · @1.68
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @3.80
Monterey Bay15%fair 6.57 · @4.10
3.03Expected goals
2.13El Paso Locomotive xG
0.89Monterey Bay xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 2.1 – 0.9 Monterey Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
Our pick is El Paso Locomotive to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Monterey Bay 15%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 2–0 Monterey Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
