FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tulsa to win ✓38% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.41
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic preview and prediction
The match
FC Tulsa host Sacramento Republic in the USL Championship on Thursday 6 August, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at ONEOK Field. FC Tulsa are 7th with 43 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Sacramento Republic sit 2nd on 51 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC Tulsa's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sacramento Republic's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Sporting JAX 5–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Sacramento Republic 2–0 FC Tulsa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for FC Tulsa and 1.1 for Sacramento Republic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tulsa 38%, draw 26%, Sacramento Republic 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tulsa38%fair 2.66 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Sacramento Republic37%fair 2.72 · @2.55
2.26Expected goals
1.14FC Tulsa xG
1.12Sacramento Republic xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: FC Tulsa 1.1 – 1.1 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
On our numbers FC Tulsa have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sacramento Republic 37%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
Our predicted score is FC Tulsa 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic?
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at ONEOK Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
