Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Loudoun United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLoudoun United to win ✗67% · @1.57
Double chanceLoudoun United or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX preview and prediction
The match
Sporting JAX travel to Segra Field in the USL Championship on Saturday 4 July (00:30 WAT) to face Loudoun United. Loudoun United are 10th with 31 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Sporting JAX sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Loudoun United's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Charleston Battery 1–4 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Sporting JAX's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Charleston Battery 2–5 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Loudoun United and 1.0 for Sporting JAX. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Loudoun United 67%, draw 21%, Sporting JAX 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Loudoun United to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Loudoun United 2–0 Sporting JAX. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Loudoun United67%fair 1.49 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.95
Sporting JAX12%fair 8.22 · @4.80
3.37Expected goals
2.39Loudoun United xG
0.97Sporting JAX xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Loudoun United 2.4 – 1.0 Sporting JAX expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loudoun United to win✗
67%
1.49
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Loudoun United or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.55
Half-time result
Loudoun United ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Loudoun United / FT Loudoun United✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.13
–
Form
Loudoun United – last 6
LDLLWL
25 Jun
@ Charleston Battery
1–4
L
21 Jun
@ Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Rhode Island
1–4
L
11 Jun
@ Greenville Triumph
1–3
L
6 Jun
vs Richmond Kickers
2–0
W
31 May
@ Monterey Bay
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sporting JAX – last 6
LLLLDW
21 Jun
vs Charleston Battery
2–5
L
14 Jun
vs Detroit City
2–6
L
11 Jun
@ Monterey Bay
1–2
L
7 Jun
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
0–2
L
28 May
vs San Antonio
4–4
D
14 May
@ Sarasota Paradise
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Loudoun United and Sporting JAX.
What is the prediction for Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX?
Our pick is Loudoun United to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX?
On our numbers Loudoun United have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sporting JAX 12%.
How many goals will there be in Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX?
Our predicted score is Loudoun United 2–0 Sporting JAX, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX?
Loudoun United vs Sporting JAX (USL Championship) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Segra Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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