Value bet: Orange County SC to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrange County SC to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights preview and prediction
The match
Orange County SC host Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Championship Soccer Stadium. Orange County SC are 9th with 39 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Las Vegas Lights sit 11th on 36 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Orange County SC and 1.0 for Las Vegas Lights. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orange County SC 55%, draw 20%, Las Vegas Lights 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Orange County SC to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Orange County SC 1–0 Las Vegas Lights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orange County SC55%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.25
Las Vegas Lights25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
2.58Expected goals
1.62Orange County SC xG
0.96Las Vegas Lights xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Orange County SC 1.6 – 1.0 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orange County SC to win✗
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orange County SC / FT Orange County SC✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Orange County SC
No recent results on record.
Las Vegas Lights
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orange County SC and Las Vegas Lights.
What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers Orange County SC have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Las Vegas Lights 25%.
How many goals will there be in Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is Orange County SC 1–0 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights?
Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Championship Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Charleston Battery2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1
Sporting JAX0
Hartford Athletic3
Birmingham Legion0
Tampa Bay Rowdies1