Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham Legion host Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Protective Stadium. Birmingham Legion are 11th with 30 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Birmingham Legion and 1.5 for Tampa Bay Rowdies. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Birmingham Legion 36%, draw 23%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Birmingham Legion 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham Legion36%fair 2.80 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Tampa Bay Rowdies42%fair 2.40 · @2.25
2.87Expected goals
1.37Birmingham Legion xG
1.50Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Birmingham Legion 1.4 – 1.5 Tampa Bay Rowdies expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampa Bay Rowdies to win✓
42%
2.40
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampa Bay Rowdies / FT Tampa Bay Rowdies✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.44
–
Form
Birmingham Legion
No recent results on record.
Tampa Bay Rowdies – last 1
W
19 Feb
vs Naples
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Birmingham Legion and Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What is the prediction for Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
On our numbers Birmingham Legion have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Tampa Bay Rowdies 42%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Our predicted score is Birmingham Legion 1–1 Tampa Bay Rowdies, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Protective Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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