Miami FC travel to Keyworth Stadium in the USL Championship on Thursday 21 May (01:00 WAT) to face Detroit City. Detroit City are 3rd with 51 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Miami FC sit 8th on 36 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Detroit City's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Forward Madison 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Miami FC's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–4 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Detroit City and 0.8 for Miami FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Detroit City 59%, draw 22%, Miami FC 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Detroit City 1–0 Miami FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Detroit City59%fair 1.70 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.95
Miami FC19%fair 5.39 · @5.50
2.41Expected goals
1.60Detroit City xG
0.81Miami FC xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–012%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Detroit City 1.6 – 0.8 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Detroit City
Miami FC
Attack vs USL Championship average
-20%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.46
0.78
Our own ratings from every USL Championship result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Detroit City to win✓
59%
1.70
1.50
Double chance
Detroit City or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Detroit City / FT Detroit City✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.73
–
Form
Detroit City – last 6
WLWLLW
16 May
@ Forward Madison
1–0
W
10 May
@ Hartford Athletic
1–2
L
2 May
vs Louisville City
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1–2
L
15 Apr
vs Chicago Fire
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Flint City Bucks
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Miami FC – last 6
LDWWWL
17 May
vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–4
L
8 May
@ Birmingham Legion
0–0
D
3 May
vs Brooklyn
3–2
W
30 Apr
vs Naples
4–1
W
26 Apr
@ Sporting JAX
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Phoenix Rising
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Detroit City and Miami FC.
What is the prediction for Detroit City vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Detroit City vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Detroit City have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Miami FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Detroit City vs Miami FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Detroit City vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Detroit City 1–0 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Detroit City vs Miami FC?
Detroit City vs Miami FC (USL Championship) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Keyworth Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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