Value bet: Juárez W to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonterrey W to win ✗45% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Juárez W vs Monterrey W preview and prediction
The match
Monterrey W travel to face Juárez W in the Liga MX Femenil on Monday 6 April (00:00 WAT). Juárez W are 5th with 30 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Monterrey W sit 2nd on 37 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Juárez W's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Necaxa W 6–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Monterrey W's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Pumas UNAM W 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Monterrey W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Juárez W and 1.5 for Monterrey W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juárez W 33%, draw 22%, Monterrey W 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Juárez W to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Juárez W 1–1 Monterrey W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juárez W33%fair 3.01 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Monterrey W45%fair 2.22 · @2.16
2.73Expected goals
1.24Juárez W xG
1.49Monterrey W xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Juárez W 1.2 – 1.5 Monterrey W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey W to win✗
45%
2.22
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey W / FT Monterrey W✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.12
–
Form
Juárez W – last 5
WLWWL
2 Apr
@ Necaxa W
6–0
W
30 Mar
@ Querétaro W
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Santos Laguna W
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Puebla W
2–0
W
23 Feb
@ Pachuca W
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Monterrey W – last 6
WWDWWW
2 Apr
vs Pumas UNAM W
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Pachuca W
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Guadalajara W
0–0
D
17 Mar
@ Atlas W
3–0
W
13 Mar
@ Mazatlán W
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Atlético San Luis W
6–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juárez W and Monterrey W.
What is the prediction for Juárez W vs Monterrey W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Juárez W vs Monterrey W?
On our numbers Juárez W have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monterrey W 45%.
How many goals will there be in Juárez W vs Monterrey W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juárez W vs Monterrey W?
Our predicted score is Juárez W 1–1 Monterrey W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Juárez W vs Monterrey W?
Juárez W vs Monterrey W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0