Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atlas W to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlas W to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Atlas W vs Santos Laguna W preview and prediction
The match
Atlas W host Santos Laguna W in the Liga MX Femenil on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Colomos. Atlas W are 13th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Santos Laguna W sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atlas W's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to América W 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Santos Laguna W's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Pachuca W 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Atlas W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.0 for Atlas W and 1.2 for Santos Laguna W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlas W 59%, draw 17%, Santos Laguna W 24%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Atlas W to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atlas W 2–1 Santos Laguna W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlas W59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 6.00 · @3.85
Santos Laguna W24%fair 4.09 · @3.70
3.19Expected goals
2.01Atlas W xG
1.18Santos Laguna W xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlas W 2.0 – 1.2 Santos Laguna W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlas W to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Half-time result
Atlas W ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlas W / FT Atlas W✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Atlas W – last 6
LWLLWL
2 Apr
@ América W
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Necaxa W
3–2
W
24 Mar
@ León W
0–4
L
17 Mar
vs Monterrey W
0–3
L
13 Mar
@ Querétaro W
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Cruz Azul W
4–6
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santos Laguna W – last 6
LLLLLL
3 Apr
vs Pachuca W
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Juárez W
0–2
L
18 Mar
vs Cruz Azul W
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Tigres UANL W
1–4
L
21 Feb
vs Toluca W
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlas W and Santos Laguna W.
What is the prediction for Atlas W vs Santos Laguna W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlas W vs Santos Laguna W?
On our numbers Atlas W have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Santos Laguna W 24%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas W vs Santos Laguna W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas W vs Santos Laguna W?
Our predicted score is Atlas W 2–1 Santos Laguna W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atlas W vs Santos Laguna W?
Atlas W vs Santos Laguna W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Colomos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0