Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultToluca W to win ✓65% · @1.55
Double chanceToluca W or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W preview and prediction
The match
Toluca W host Pumas UNAM W in the Liga MX Femenil on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT). Toluca W are 6th with 27 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Pumas UNAM W sit 9th on 20 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Toluca W and 1.0 for Pumas UNAM W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca W 65%, draw 24%, Pumas UNAM W 11%.
Safer route: Toluca W or draw (89%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Toluca W to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Toluca W 2–0 Pumas UNAM W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca W65%fair 1.54 · @1.55
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @4.33
Pumas UNAM W11%fair 8.86 · @5.10
3.30Expected goals
2.33Toluca W xG
0.97Pumas UNAM W xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Toluca W 2.3 – 1.0 Pumas UNAM W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca W to win✓
65%
1.54
1.55
Double chance
Toluca W or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Half-time result
Toluca W ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca W / FT Toluca W✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Toluca W – last 2
WD
21 Feb
@ Santos Laguna W
1–0
W
17 Feb
vs Pachuca W
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Pumas UNAM W – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Pumas UNAM W.
What is the prediction for Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W?
Our pick is Toluca W to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pumas UNAM W 11%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 2–0 Pumas UNAM W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W?
Toluca W vs Pumas UNAM W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0