Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.80 – our chance 53% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +48%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTigres UANL W to win ✓80% · @1.05
Double chanceTigres UANL W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Tigres UANL W vs Santos Laguna W preview and prediction
The match
Santos Laguna W travel to Estadio Universitario in the Liga MX Femenil on Friday 13 March (03:00 WAT) to face Tigres UANL W. Tigres UANL W are 3rd with 35 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Santos Laguna W sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tigres UANL W's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Pumas UNAM W 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.8 for Tigres UANL W and 0.8 for Santos Laguna W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tigres UANL W 80%, draw 12%, Santos Laguna W 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.80 – 53% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Tigres UANL W 3–0 Santos Laguna W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tigres UANL W80%fair 1.26 · @1.05
Draw12%fair 8.24 · @12.50
Santos Laguna W8%fair 12.14 · @25.00
3.56Expected goals
2.79Tigres UANL W xG
0.77Santos Laguna W xG
53%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–08%
4–07%
From our goals model: Tigres UANL W 2.8 – 0.8 Santos Laguna W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tigres UANL W to win✓
80%
1.26
1.05
Double chance
Tigres UANL W or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.73
Half-time result
Tigres UANL W ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tigres UANL W / FT Tigres UANL W✓
56%
1.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
Tigres UANL W – last 3
WDW
21 Feb
@ Pumas UNAM W
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Mazatlán W
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Puebla W
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Santos Laguna W – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Toluca W
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Necaxa W
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tigres UANL W and Santos Laguna W.
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL W vs Santos Laguna W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Tigres UANL W vs Santos Laguna W?
On our numbers Tigres UANL W have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Santos Laguna W 8%.
How many goals will there be in Tigres UANL W vs Santos Laguna W?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tigres UANL W vs Santos Laguna W?
Our predicted score is Tigres UANL W 3–0 Santos Laguna W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Tigres UANL W vs Santos Laguna W?
Tigres UANL W vs Santos Laguna W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0