Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Tijuana W to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTijuana W to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.11
Tijuana W vs León W preview and prediction
The match
León W travel to Estadio Caliente in the Liga MX Femenil on Sunday 22 February (03:00 WAT) to face Tijuana W. Tijuana W are 14th with 11 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while León W sit 7th on 25 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Tijuana W and 1.1 for León W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tijuana W 65%, draw 14%, León W 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Tijuana W to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tijuana W 2–1 León W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tijuana W65%fair 1.53 · @1.90
Draw14%fair 7.18 · @3.70
León W21%fair 4.79 · @3.65
3.20Expected goals
2.14Tijuana W xG
1.06León W xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tijuana W 2.1 – 1.1 León W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tijuana W to win✓
65%
1.53
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Half-time result
Tijuana W ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tijuana W / FT Tijuana W✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.11
–
Form
Tijuana W – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Cruz Azul W
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
León W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tijuana W and León W.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tijuana W vs León W?
On our numbers Tijuana W have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 14% and León W 21%.
How many goals will there be in Tijuana W vs León W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tijuana W vs León W?
Our predicted score is Tijuana W 2–1 León W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tijuana W vs León W?
Tijuana W vs León W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W2