Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonterrey W to win ✓78% · @1.12
Double chanceMonterrey W or draw ✓95% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.48
Monterrey W vs Atlético San Luis W preview and prediction
The match
The Liga MX Femenil sees Monterrey W take on Atlético San Luis W on Sunday 22 February, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Cancha El Barrial. Monterrey W are 2nd with 37 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Atlético San Luis W sit 11th on 19 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.8 for Monterrey W and 0.7 for Atlético San Luis W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterrey W 78%, draw 17%, Atlético San Luis W 5%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Monterrey W 3–0 Atlético San Luis W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterrey W78%fair 1.28 · @1.12
Draw17%fair 5.94 · @8.00
Atlético San Luis W5%fair 20.49 · @20.00
3.49Expected goals
2.78Monterrey W xG
0.71Atlético San Luis W xG
56%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–011%
1–08%
2–18%
3–18%
4–08%
From our goals model: Monterrey W 2.8 – 0.7 Atlético San Luis W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey W to win✓
78%
1.28
1.12
Double chance
Monterrey W or draw✓
95%
1.05
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Half-time result
Monterrey W ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey W / FT Monterrey W✓
57%
1.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.48
–
Form
Monterrey W – last 1
D
16 Feb
@ América W
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atlético San Luis W – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Querétaro W
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterrey W and Atlético San Luis W.
What is the prediction for Monterrey W vs Atlético San Luis W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Monterrey W vs Atlético San Luis W?
On our numbers Monterrey W have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Atlético San Luis W 5%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey W vs Atlético San Luis W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey W vs Atlético San Luis W?
Our predicted score is Monterrey W 3–0 Atlético San Luis W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Monterrey W vs Atlético San Luis W?
Monterrey W vs Atlético San Luis W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Cancha El Barrial.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W2