Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeón W to win69% · @1.28
Double chanceLeón W or draw85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.23
León W vs Puebla W preview and prediction
The match
Puebla W travel to face León W in the Liga MX Femenil on Tuesday 17 February (00:00 WAT). León W are 7th with 25 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Puebla W sit 17th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for León W and 0.9 for Puebla W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: León W 69%, draw 16%, Puebla W 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: León W 2–0 Puebla W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
León W69%fair 1.46 · @1.28
Draw16%fair 6.22 · @5.25
Puebla W15%fair 6.56 · @10.25
3.18Expected goals
2.26León W xG
0.92Puebla W xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: León W 2.3 – 0.9 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
León W to win
69%
1.46
1.28
Double chance
León W or draw
85%
1.18
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.50
Half-time result
León W ahead at half-time
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT León W / FT León W
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.23
–
Form
León W
No recent results on record.
Puebla W – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ Tigres UANL W
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between León W and Puebla W.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win León W vs Puebla W?
On our numbers León W have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Puebla W 15%.
How many goals will there be in León W vs Puebla W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for León W vs Puebla W?
Our predicted score is León W 2–0 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is León W vs Puebla W?
León W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0