Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Pachuca W to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPachuca W to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Toluca W vs Pachuca W preview and prediction
The match
Pachuca W travel to face Toluca W in the Liga MX Femenil on Tuesday 17 February (01:00 WAT). Toluca W are 6th with 27 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Pachuca W sit 10th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Toluca W and 1.8 for Pachuca W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Toluca W 36%, draw 23%, Pachuca W 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Pachuca W to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Toluca W 1–2 Pachuca W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Toluca W36%fair 2.79 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
Pachuca W42%fair 2.40 · @2.62
3.49Expected goals
1.67Toluca W xG
1.81Pachuca W xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Toluca W 1.7 – 1.8 Pachuca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca W to win✗
42%
2.40
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca W / FT Pachuca W✗
25%
3.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
Toluca W
No recent results on record.
Pachuca W
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Pachuca W.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Toluca W vs Pachuca W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pachuca W 42%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Pachuca W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Pachuca W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 1–2 Pachuca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Pachuca W?
Toluca W vs Pachuca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mazatlán W0